U.S. intelligence, as reported by the New York Times, now says Iran held onto roughly 40% of its prewar drone stockpile and more than 60% of its ballistic missile launchers, after using the ceasefire to literally dig its underground "missile cities" back out.
Satellite imagery, stalled Islamabad talks and IRGC gunboats firing on ships in the Strait of Hormuz all tell the same story:
the regime is bruised, not broken, and the next round isn't a question of if, but when.

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