Friday, October 30, 2020

President Trump’s Arizona Rally: 20% of Attendees Weren’t Republicans – 36% Didn’t Vote in 2016


While Joe Biden’s rallies draw attendees by the dozens, President Donald Trump continues attracting people by the thousands.

We know who is attending Biden’s rallies: Democrats who would’ve voted Democrat no matter what. Biden isn’t pulling support from anywhere else. Despite the rise of self-professed “principled Republicans” voting against their principles like the David Frenchs of the world, or the more transparent grifters like those in the Lincoln Project, Trump is expected to win a larger share of the Republican vote than he did in 2016. Seven percent of Republicans defected and voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016, but only 5% plan on voting for Biden this year. Of note, 8% of Republicans voted for Obama in 2008.

Meanwhile, President Trump is even pulling some support from Democrats. Party Chair Ronna McDaniel posted statistics from Trump’s rally in Goodyear, Arizona yesterday, and it turns out that 19.5% of attendees weren’t even Republicans. But most significant is that over a third of the crowd didn’t vote in 2016 – and obviously are inclined to this year.

And in 2019 the data was the following for a handful of rallies:

  • Battle Creek, Michigan: 15% didn’t vote in last four elections, 27% were Democrats.
  • Broward, Florida: 19% voted once or not at all in past four elections, 24% were Democrats.
  • Dallas, Texas: 12% didn’t vote in past four elections, 21.4% were Democrats.

Can you imagine a single Republican showing up to a Biden rally? Maybe, but only if they attended ironically.

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